A previous post linked to a JavaScript electoral map that allows you to evaluate scenarios.
Jonah Goldberg links to one that is updated by recent polls.
On July 13, it shows Kerry winning, but they give him Florida as "uncertain Kerry." I'd have to call it a toss-up, possibly "uncertain Buchanan."
I derive my personal comfort in this matter from the belief that when the rubber hits the road and it's time for voters to pull the lever, they'll vote for safety and reject the dangerous wishy washy foreign policy of John John. It was reassuring that Bush had many millions more in campaign cash than the Dems, but that has now nearly equalized.
I wonder if our friend saint stephen still considers the election a slam-dunk, to use an unfortunate term, for GWB?
Posted by: johngalt at July 14, 2004 08:56 AMIf the Democrats were running a much more moderate liberal I’d say this election would be very, very close, but with the Karl Marx Brothers running I really think that come October/November you’ll see W start to pull away. The religious conservatives will win out over the anti-war folks to put W into office a second term. Only one man's opinion though...
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