September 03, 2004

TIME: Bush 'Bounce' - 9 points

The first numbers are in and it doesn't look good for Senator Spitball. Today Time magazine announced results of their latest presidential election 'horse race' poll, conducted by telephone from August 31 to September 2. Among likely voters it's Bush 52 - Kerry 41.

The same poll had Bush over Kerry 46 - 44 immediately prior to the convention, and Bush trailing Kerry 43 - 48 after the Dem convention. The GOP convention bounce is therefore a 9-point gain from Bush's position over Kerry before the shindig, and 16-points from Kerry's lead as the virginal nominee.

There's a name for Kerry's (mis)fortunes since his party formally nominated him. It's called a tailspin.

UPDATE:(9/4/04) Newsweek poll puts 'bounce' at 13 points, Bush 54 - Kerry 43.

Posted by JohnGalt at September 3, 2004 02:57 PM

I didn't have the heart, stomach or spleen to watch Kerry's post-convention whine-a-thon. But it has received such consistently awful reviews I wish I had,

I thought his opening line was actually very clever: "Something important happened tonight, the Red Sox pulled within 2 1/2 games in the East" Pretty clever, I thought.

Well, maybe that was in the Cambodian Baseball League, 'cause in the AL, they were still 3 1/2 out.


But seriously, when you're under attack for prevarication, would you lie about a baseball score?

I guess he IS just a regular guy. "Theresa and I were sipping Cognac the other night in the Chinese room. She put down her brie, wiped her mouth with the linen napkin and said "about this infield fly rule, John..."

Posted by: jk at September 3, 2004 03:22 PM

Please spare me the rich and privledged jokes. Was your first job out of college as president/owner of your own oil company?

Posted by: Silence Dogood at September 7, 2004 10:18 AM

nope. I will not spare them, even for you!

1) Not making fun of privilege. Making fun of Senator Kerry's pretending to be someone whom he clearly is not. He brings up baseball to connect (pander) to voters. Does he follow it at all?

2) President Bush has enjoyed advantages from his name, money and family ties. Yet he still has a ranch in Crawford, TX vs. mansions on Beacon Street, Park Avenue, Ketchum.

3) You're a history buff. The Kerrys would be the wealthiest couple ever to inhabit the White House. Those piker Roosevelts, Kennedys, Van Burens would be soundly eclipsed. This bears mentioning.

4) He did not earn it, augment it, or even inherit it. This is his wife's dead husband's money. Living a high-life, Nantucket windsurfing existence off of it is unseemly.

Posted by: jk at September 7, 2004 12:12 PM

Interesting, and shame on me for not noticing the fact that this would (I haven't confirmed this, but I bet you are correct) be the richest President ever. Of course marrying into money is a time honored tradition as well, gave George Washington his start. I do dislike Kerry's playboy image and agree that it adds to his aura of being unapproachable. But which is more disenguous, a rich man living in a mansion, or one who buys a ranch to pretend to be a rancher? I have no doubt that Bush enjoys Crawford and his ranch there but he does not make his living as a rancher any more than the Hollwood folk buying large plots of Montana. Puts you in the same zip code as the regular folk but not the same boat.

Posted by: Silence Dogood at September 7, 2004 04:01 PM

I LOVE rich guys in mansions. It's when they pretend to be regular guys and say something stupid that I pounce.

Sorry, you don't spend August in Crawford, TX for show -- that is different from Ted in Montana. You'd have to lose a bet or really be a Texan.

Seriously, if W is acting, he is really really good at it.

Posted by: jk at September 7, 2004 04:23 PM

I don't think W is acting, yeah Texas is hot in August, but have you been in D.C. in August? (It's not the heat, it's the humidity) But anyway, just because he legitimately enjoys staying on a ranch doesn't make him a rancher, he is not dependent on it for his livelyhood so a claim to be just a west Texas boy doesn't hold water with me.

Posted by: Silence Dogood at September 7, 2004 05:11 PM
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